Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.191190 0.217721 0.246206 0.279018 0.315721 0.355464 0.401707
2025-12-14 0.153868 0.188911 0.229072 0.278335 0.336957 0.404293 0.487300
2025-12-21 0.128044 0.167856 0.216133 0.278619 0.356954 0.451471 0.573662
2025-12-28 0.110292 0.153309 0.208150 0.282562 0.380168 0.503021 0.668412
2026-01-04 0.097590 0.143035 0.203640 0.289401 0.406475 0.559374 0.772572
2026-01-11 0.085959 0.132376 0.196917 0.291844 0.426235 0.607713 0.868869
2026-01-18 0.077247 0.124520 0.192824 0.296887 0.449142 0.661002 0.974579
2026-01-25 0.070814 0.119084 0.191340 0.305026 0.476410 0.721427 1.093350
2026-02-01 0.063123 0.110679 0.184381 0.304046 0.489747 0.762239 1.185991
2026-02-08 0.056441 0.103016 0.177636 0.302464 0.501546 0.800902 1.277058
2026-02-15 0.050706 0.096196 0.171436 0.300933 0.512875 0.838989 1.368796
2026-02-22 0.047182 0.092737 0.170300 0.307280 0.536760 0.897219 1.493980
2026-03-01 0.042714 0.087228 0.165425 0.307384 0.551180 0.942579 1.603591
2026-03-08 0.038738 0.082145 0.160763 0.307370 0.565268 0.988111 1.715987
2026-03-15 0.035323 0.077702 0.156771 0.308085 0.580470 1.036124 1.834849
2026-03-22 0.032789 0.074677 0.155047 0.312629 0.602457 1.096413 1.976937
2026-03-29 0.030882 0.072687 0.155045 0.320248 0.630256 1.167853 2.141205
2026-04-05 0.028593 0.069606 0.152608 0.322996 0.649281 1.225060 2.283932
2026-04-12 0.026821 0.067423 0.151714 0.328561 0.673723 1.292829 2.448052
2026-04-19 0.025533 0.066156 0.152537 0.337501 0.704957 1.374098 2.639581
2026-04-26 0.023429 0.062748 0.148568 0.336440 0.716886 1.421054 2.772128
2026-05-03 0.021473 0.059436 0.144466 0.334714 0.727275 1.465526 2.902052
2026-05-10 0.019709 0.056359 0.140566 0.333039 0.737537 1.510093 3.033988